Week 1 picks against the spread

My overall record last season waswhich was just behind the collective BGN community at

Hello, NFL fans. The regular season is finally upon us which means that we are back making our best bets with my NFL projection model. As for my betting strategy, we ended the season poorly last year and while diving into the root causes of the struggles, over the last two seasons, my total bets have been struggling. The model has been positive the last two seasons despite these struggles and I hope we can turn it around. We are coming out of the gates firing this year.

Week 1 picks against the spread

We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. When in doubt while betting the most unpredictable week of the NFL season, go with the coaches and quarterbacks you trust most. Here are our picks for every game on the Week 1 slate. Time for another season of NFL picks against the spread. For those who are new here, this is where I pick every single game and try not to embarrass myself. Lines are from FanDuel as of Wednesday night. Going into the summer, we already knew they would be starting a pair of new offensive tackles, and they lost their leading wide receiver from JuJu Smith-Schuster in free agency. As of Wednesday night, their best defensive player, Chris Jones, continues to hold out. There are plenty of reasons to think the Lions can cover and even win this game. Their offense was legitimately good last year.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor. NFL Week 4 Picks.

We're back for the NFL season with the goal of being better than ever in a battle against the betting books. This year, in addition to picks against the spread, we'll also produce a consensus for straight-up selections for bettors who just want to place wagers on winners. Going forward, you'll be able to track our tipsters in the standings to see who's helped our audience rake in the most cash. Lines are from DraftKings as of Wednesday, Sept. Check the latest lines at DraftKings.

Last season, I went a solid But this is meant as a realistic look at the betting market, and no one can maintain a winning percentage like that. I'll happily take 55 percent every season just wish it was that easy. To be clear, I'm a journalist first and a handicapper second. I don't pretend to be a professional bettor, but I approach sports betting using the lessons I've learned covering the race and sports books in Vegas since for various publications and websites, including GamingToday a weekly Vegas newspaper , Daily Racing Form the horseplayer's bible and my own ViewFromVegas. Each week, we'll list every game along with the current spread, taking a look at the public's perception of the matchup, the wiseguys' view and then my own "take" on the game. Just like the sharps in Vegas, I don't bet every game, but rather try to pick my spots.

Week 1 picks against the spread

The NFL season has finally arrived. This year, though, we're going to switch up the formula a bit. After we went last season in our second year of picking and predicting, we're going to narrow our focus and choose our six favorite bets ATS each week. Fewer games to focus on means our winning percentage will skyrocket. The defending NFC champions will be in Foxborough in the late-afternoon slate to kick off another season of Super Bowl contention. And Philly has an ideal matchup, too. The Patriots have an actual offensive coordinator this year and buffed up an already-impressive defense through the draft, so they won't be the easy pickings for good teams they were last year. But the offensive line is a problem, despite what Bill Belichick thinks. Both of New England's starting guards didn't practice all summer and two of the three top options to start at right tackle are on the IR already.

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If Tennessee continues to give up about passing yards per game as it did last year, Carr could have another productive outing against a recognizable foe. Also, All-Pro tight end George Kittle has an issue with his adductor , which has limited his participation at practices. Furthermore, Minnesota has question marks on defense after the unit gave up the fifth-most points last year. Share this story Twitter Facebook. There are plenty of reasons to think the Lions can cover and even win this game. The worst result would probably be for Fields to fall somewhere in between those two outcomes, which would force Chicago to make another tough decision next offseason. Pickswise is the best place to get free expert NFL picks. Score Prediction: Saints 28, Titans DK Line: Jacksonville Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Notice. Instead, he's intrigued by what Richardson brings to the offense. You can opt out at any time. PICK: Seahawks

Check out their Week 1 picks below. The lines provided by Caesars Sportsbook are current as of a. ET on Thursday, Sept.

The Rams can run the ball—an area the Seahawks struggled to defend in I buy into some of those takes. The pick: Chiefs Alienating star running back Jonathan Taylor. Score Prediction: Ravens 31, Texans Reddit Pocket Flipboard Email. While analysts believe the Vikings won't have the same success in tight contests, the offense can still score points in bunches, which explains the six-point spread. I have no idea what is going on here. Defensively, I think the Browns will be the most improved unit in the NFL, and they could give the Bengals problems here. Reid thrives when he has extra time to prepare. In this matchup, Sam Howell and Josh Dobbs will lead their respective offenses—not at all an anticipated quarterback matchup. Score Prediction: Chiefs 28, Lions